Full precinct-level data is absent for 21 regions within Russia's internationally recognized borders and for four annexed regions of Ukraine, according to an analysis by electoral expert Ivan Shukshin reviewed by Agentstvo.
No protocols have been published for any precinct in Leningrad Region. For the self-proclaimed "DNR" and "LNR," the Central Election Commission website lists only results by territorial election commissions, without a precinct-by-precinct breakdown. No data at all is available for the annexed parts of Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions, electoral expert Boris Ovchinnikov wrote.
According to estimates by expert Roman Udot, protocols published by the evening of September 27 were missing voting data on nearly 5.963 million people — 9% of voters who turned out. Udot called the situation an "unprecedented level of delay." In his view, the data is not being published because of "insurmountable mathematical contradictions" that arose as a result of falsifications.
Ovchinnikov drew attention to inconsistencies in the published figures. In all three districts of the "DNR," as well as in Chechnya, Ingushetia and North Ossetia, not a single ballot was recorded as removed from a polling station — the number of ballots issued matches the number found in the boxes. In the "LNR," by contrast, 30,000 people, or 2.5% of voters, took party-list ballots with them. That is three times fewer than the number of ballots taken across all of Russia.
In two of the three "DNR" districts, the number of ballots issued for single-mandate candidates is noticeably higher than for party lists. Ovchinnikov notes that under the law such a situation is impossible. On the basis of this data, he suggests that precinct commission protocols either did not exist and results were drawn up at a higher level, or were not used to determine the official figures.
Novaya Gazeta Europe calculated that without falsifications, United Russia would have received about 34% of the vote. Only about one-fifth of all precincts appear to be honest. According to the outlet, A Just Russia was credited with about 94,000 additional votes so that the party would clear the 5% threshold. In Moscow and the Moscow Region, some protocols were rewritten after publication.
Shukshin plans to appeal to the prosecutor's office. "In Leningrad Region there are 19 territorial election commissions, I will file 19 applications with different prosecutor's offices," he said.